Nominations will be out tomorrow so here are my last-second guesses.
PICTURE
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Maybe: Da 5 Bloods, News of the World
Should Be But Won't: The Outpost
There will likely be 9 nominees, so there's my top 8, and I think one of those two titles will be the final one.
DIRECTOR
Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Emerald Ferrell, Promising Young Woman
David Fincher, Mank
Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Maybe: Regina King, One Night in Miami
Should Be But Won't: Josephine Decker, Shirley
ACTOR
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods
Gary Oldman, Mank
Maybe: Steven Yuen, Minari
Should Be But Won't: Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami
ACTRESS
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Rosamund Pike, I Care a Lot
Maybe: Andra Day, The Unites States v. Billie Holiday
Should Be But Won't: Elizabeth Moss, Shirley
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sasha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas & the Black Messiah
Bill Murray, On the Rocks
Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Maybe: Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods
Should Be But Won't: Michael Stuhlbarg, Shirley
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilms
Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman, The Father
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
Maybe: Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
Should Be But Won't: Elizabeth Debicki, Tenet
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Mank
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Maybe: Another Round
Should Be But Won't: Palm Springs
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Father
First Cow
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
Maybe: The White Tiger
Should Be But Won't: The Outpost
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